2032 may prove the climate tipping point
Poland giving up on lignite may turn out to be real in 2032, this has been indicated in the analysis carried out by the Energy Forum. Lignite is now the largest CO2 emission threat in Poland. The analysis also includes Czech Republic and Germany.
According to the Energy Forum’s experts’ opinion, the climate landscape in the so-called brown coal triangle has changed drastically over the past five years.
The Coal Commission in Germany is already working on plans to exclude coal from the mix by 2038, while in the Czech Republic this decision is to be taken by the end of 2020. The pursuit to reduce CO2 emissions is the most important element of these changes. This is to be achieved through replacement generation units, obsolete in many cases and thus and cannot meet the new climate requirements.
The Modernization of the European brown coal triangle analysis aims to verify the effects of brown coal removal from the energy mix, parallel in Poland, the Czech Republic and Germany: - Our analysis shows that by 2032 parallel brown coal phase-out is feasible, not only in Poland but also in Germany and the Czech Republic. This is real and cost-effective and will bring nearly 50% reduction in CO2 emissions from the power sector in the region. This is an inevitable process - says Joanna Maćkowiak-Pandera PhD. from the Energy Forum.
The analysis shows that lignite power plants replacement by 2032 with renewable sources does not increase the costs of energy transformation: - This project may become the flagship project of the European Green Deal, a symbol of good regional cooperation for energy security. However we need to initiate coordinated action and cooperation between Warsaw, Berlin and Prague. - adds Joanna Maćkowiak-Pandera.
The Modernization of the European brown coal triangle report has been created in cooperation with the Agora Energiewende think tank and consulted with Czech experts.
More information about the analysis can be found at https://www.forum-energii.eu/pl/analizy/europejski-trojkat-wegla-brunatnego